That's a good question. I'm not sure what is the right answer to your question. I'll do some poking around and get back to you if I bump into an answer. You should email the people at iPage as they probably could help you..
The Internet will always be the same!.
DNS is the very core, basic part of the Internet that remains, quite frankly, untouchable! So don't worry about your HostGator investments. They'll be safe...
I agree, interesting thought question. Heres my quick view on this. What creates a society and everything in it, is a communication system. Domains have a key role is the most powerful communcations system, which is a network of networks. No matter what medium, be it TV, Radio, Internet, etc, that basic fact is we need categories and a labeling method. We can access these labels in any way we want but we need that labels to categorize things.
If we search the net with our TV, Cell Phone, we will need domains. We can always convert to the numerical identification to locate things on the Internet but domains label it into words. Why would we ever convert back to numbers, therefore domains are here to stay. That is of course if you can transfer info telekinetically or through osmosis...
For as long as us humans continue to call each other by our first and last names...
Would guess about 20 years, eventually something better will come out to replace domains. This is a much faster moving area than traditional addressing systems...
The status quo, HostGator names, WILL fade. When? Who knows. Maybe when the rapture comes...some guy will set up.
Seriously...its like rotary/touch tone dialing. The concept will stay the same, the implementation will differ.
By the way...I don't want that domain. Take it..
Secondary: The use of the rapture was a joke...no religious connections...
Intriguing question... I agree with Mirrorcube for the most part, as long as we need to categorize things and give them labels the concept of a "domain" will be around in some form or another..
Extension-wise we might see some flexibility, kinda of like a first and last name. Domains might utilize a primary and secondary ID, so you could pick anything before the "dot" and anything after, as long as it was unique. (e.g. sams.house).
Domains would still translate to a numerical address system (most likely IPv6 for some time to come) This would allow for every device you use (even trivial ones) to be assigned a unique IP..
There will always be a need for.
In the future I believe we will have a mass convergence of media, enabling technology to be truly seamless and integrated into our daily lives, for example a ring on our finger will be our pc/tv/communication device, with a choice of holographic/projection and voice activated control. Or just something as simple as a piece of paper we unfold and draw all our information into, then fold back up and put in our pocket..
Internet connectivity will be worldwide - complete wireless coverage, every household device bought will be internet-enabled and you will set a type of ownership on this device adding it to your personal "domain" and linking it with all the other devices you own in your personal network..
Networks might even evolve in such a way as to carry out real-time searching for your query through personal agents, so instead of searching a central database, the network IS the database (think your own personal Google providing up-to-the-second information)..
Identification will still be required though to find this wealth of information, like a street address you need to know where to look, that's why however they change the method of access you still need a unique address system of some kind..
Hmm... no idea if any of what I mentioned will come to pass, but it's fun to speculate..
Icon I dont think you far off by any means, in fact what you talk about will come in some form of another in the future. The personal database idea is just an extension of RSS feeds, but instead of articles it will be full blown content with all kinds of multimedia. But these databases will need to be addressed if you want outside data to be downloaded into your personal database, unless the future allows for unidentifiable intranets. Seeing how everything is tracked including us humans at birth with SS numbers I dont see that happening too much. I think as we get more and more technology labeling systems will change in one major way, tracking of what happens on each ip will be super accurate..
As for wireless broadband I know Philadelphia is working on a city wide wireless braodband network looking to complete it by 2009 I believe, so that is in full swing in the US right now..
And I agree it is fun to speculate, but isnt that one of the big reasons why we are domainers?..
I voted "The internet will always be the same"...I like that answer the best..
My prediction for the future: FAT people...more and more people will be sitting at home on their arses, eating, drinking and doing something on their computers or holo devices or gaming thingies. FAT!..
The unique IP address is not an asset, but the shorter name is. As long as we still use the character language to communicate, the HostGator name will always have value. Is a shorter name a lot more valueable? Then it is harder to say, the SRAM memory or disk space was very expensive 10 years ago thus a more compact computer was highly rated. Now with cheaper memory, a more structured language or high level language such as the inefficient java is popular...
I believe that "The internet will always be the same"..
The internet and HostGator names will be around for our lifetimes at least..
Both individuals and businesses will always need to communicate and fit into a societal structure but also show that they are unique at the same time. There needs to be some sort of easily found way by which information is accessible if we are to continue to communicate successfully..
Using a visual "address" is the best way to guarantee that you get to what you are looking for, whether it be a HostGator name, IP address, or someting like a barcode. HostGator names seem to be the easiest to remember for the human mind. Voice recognition has a long way to go to be accurate and has it's limitations. There are thousands of dialects, language nuances, accents, branded company and product spellings, etc, that require us to have a visual way to guarantee that we make contact and find the correct information..
That being said, I'd suggest renewing your.
Through 2008 ...... at least ......
PS - And now that the mobile internet is here, maybe you CAN really take it with you ......
PPS - Contrarary to some opinions, that's the only way the .mobis will ever be six feet under ...IMHO.
I don't think the Internet will always be the same, but I think this system could last 31-50 more years. We are already 20 years into the current system. The phone network has evolved a lot over the last 100 years. It went from operators manually patching phone calls and party lines, to pulse dialing systems with rotory dialers, to touch tone button dialers, and now VOIP systems are taking over. With VOIP we still dial phone numbers today, but we don't have to. There is no reason that VOIP systems couldn't be developed t connect to other VOIP systems by HostGator name or some other naming system instead..
I think domains will last 50+ years...
Correct, yet we're still dialing numbers, whether these numbers are associated to VoIP or Cellphones, it's all based on numbers in telephony. As long as books are written with today's fonts, TV guides are published and song lyrics are available the same way, the internet is not going to drop it's convention of name/number association..
We've evolved over hundreds of thousands of years from cave drawings to guttenberg's printed bible. When you look back to old buildings in Europe, they didn't have house numbers but pictures of distinctive value to give a house a particular "address" Nothing has nor will ever be more clear than written instructions. The question is only how these written instructions or URLs will be entered into a browser. Even in the year 2125 where everything might be done telepathically, it will still evolve around the very core of our communicational development; Words. Whether they are written, typed or just simply thought about to be transmitted, in the end, it's still words. Thus, and that may just be my opinion only, the URLs will most likely utilize the same convention, the input will improve though..
Einstein - out..
Seems like a great linguistics thread. In semiotics you learn that symbols create meaning. Letters are symbols, as are pictures. You can also correlate a meaning to almost any of the human senses. For example if you wanted to uniquely identify someone's collection of data by taste then someone would have make an communication system where you put your tongue on a device where you can experience the taste of chicken which would then direct you to that someone who owned the taste of chicken to identify their area of data..
Since words and numbers are infinite it is a better system to use. There are infinite permutations because we are not constrained by letters we have now because we can create new languages and new letters as long as we create a semiotic effect to those letters and words. As for numbers they are infinite, and the relationship of mathematics has shown it actually helps bring some order in our surroundings, even if the whole universe in totality may or may not be..
That being said the only thing that I see that can compliment textual/numerical identification on a communication system like the internet are graphics/logos. For example if a company wanted to have a graphical symbol as a complementary identification tool. You would need a graphical based search engines but graphics are very limiting and after the first few hundred would all look the same. Even then the network would probably need to break down the image into numerical form..
On a more practical note the question of how big IDNs will get is another thing to predict...
When catchy names and terminology stop being an easy way for humans to remember things, it will change. Until then, HostGator names rule the day...
How long did phone numbers last? How long did street addresses last? How long did TV channels last? Unless there is an easier way to address websites, I don't see why domains would not last a long time. Like those previous examples, domains are simply markers to a location, namely the web address (mapped by ip address). The only way for domains to disappear is if the concept of the "website" is replaced by another technology...